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Central Bank Minutes Scheduled, Traders Survey Due Friday

CHILE
  • The BCCh will release the minutes of its April meeting at 1330BST/0830ET. As a reminder, the committee decided to slow the pace of easing, cutting rates by 75bps to 6.50% and conveying a more cautious tone. Our full review of the decision is here: https://roar-assets-auto.rbl.ms/files/60652/MNI%20BCCh%20Review%20-%20April%202024.pdf
  • Analysts will be attentive to the details on whether different alternatives were considered, and what may determine the size of further adjustments ahead.
  • The Chilean peso relatively outperformed on Tuesday as other currencies in the region bore the brunt of the emerging market sell off. However, USDCLP closed at 981.84 and bullish conditions for the pair remain firmly in place with focus on the bull trigger at 990.67, the Feb 26 high.
  • Itaú expect the peso to remain under pressure near term due to narrowing interest rate differentials, but see scope for it to gradually appreciate through their forecast horizon as monetary policy paths across the globe converge.
  • Elsewhere on the calendar, the BCCh traders survey will be released Friday. As a reminder, the latest economist survey showed that expectations are for just a 50bp cut at the May 23 meeting.

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