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SECURITY: CFL Warns Of Elevated Security Risks For 2025

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The Council on Foreign Relations think tank has published its annual Preventive Priorities Survey conflict report – based on assessments from hundreds of US government officials and foreign policy experts -, finding that “this year could be the most dangerous in the PPS’s seventeen-year history.”

  • The report notes: “Experts predict that more contingencies have both a high likelihood of occurring and high impact on U.S. interests than ever before. Wars in Gaza and Ukraine, confrontations in the West Bank and at the U.S.-Mexico Border, and hostilities between Iran and Israel were of the greatest concern."
  • The report adds: “Deteriorating security conditions in the Middle East top this year’s list, followed by threats to the American homeland (domestic political violence, cyberattacks, and a security crisis at the southern border), Russian aggression in Ukraine and eastern Europe, and Chinese provocation in the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea.... Severe humanitarian crises in Haiti, Sudan, Somalia, and elsewhere rose in the rankings of this year’s survey relative to previous years.”
  • Paul Stares, the director of the study, said: “There is clearly, for want of a better term, deep dread among hundreds of highly credentialed U.S. foreign policy experts about where the world is going in 2025.”
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The Council on Foreign Relations think tank has published its annual Preventive Priorities Survey conflict report – based on assessments from hundreds of US government officials and foreign policy experts -, finding that “this year could be the most dangerous in the PPS’s seventeen-year history.”

  • The report notes: “Experts predict that more contingencies have both a high likelihood of occurring and high impact on U.S. interests than ever before. Wars in Gaza and Ukraine, confrontations in the West Bank and at the U.S.-Mexico Border, and hostilities between Iran and Israel were of the greatest concern."
  • The report adds: “Deteriorating security conditions in the Middle East top this year’s list, followed by threats to the American homeland (domestic political violence, cyberattacks, and a security crisis at the southern border), Russian aggression in Ukraine and eastern Europe, and Chinese provocation in the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea.... Severe humanitarian crises in Haiti, Sudan, Somalia, and elsewhere rose in the rankings of this year’s survey relative to previous years.”
  • Paul Stares, the director of the study, said: “There is clearly, for want of a better term, deep dread among hundreds of highly credentialed U.S. foreign policy experts about where the world is going in 2025.”