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Channel Top Caps USD/KRW, South Korea's Trade Surplus Shrinks More Than Forecast

KRW

Spot USD/KRW gapped higher at the re-open and last trades +4.75 figs at KRW1,117.15, but gains were limited by channel resistance at KRW1,117.81.

  • South Korea's trade surplus shrank considerably more than expected to $388mn in Apr from $4.132bn seen in Mar (BBG est. was $3.105bn).
  • Local Markit M'fing PMI moderated to 54.6 from 55.3, but IHS Markit commented that "April data marked a sustained improvement in the health of the South Korean manufacturing sector," flagging continued increases in crucial sub-indices.
  • Worth noting that South Korea's 13-month ban on short-selling stocks has expired today. KOSPI has headed higher in early trade.
  • South Korea's health authority warned of a looming vaccine shortage, with just 8.8% of the national stockpile of AstraZeneca jabs left.
  • The weekend saw some verbal wrestling between North Korean & U.S. officials. Pyongyang accused the White House of "intent to keep enforcing the hostile policy toward the DPRK," following last week's congressional speech from U.S. Pres Biden, who dubbed North Korea's nuclear programme a "serious threat to American security."
  • Veteran DP politician Song became the ruling party's chairman over the weekend, at a time when the party seeks to win back public confidence after losing mayoral by-elections in Seoul & Busan last month.
  • Data-wise, focus turns to local CPI report (Tuesday) & BoP current account balance (Friday).
  • A break above the aforementioned channel resistance would prompt bulls to target Apr 23 high of KRW1,120.80, followed by the 50-DMA at KRW1,123.38. Bears set their sights on channel floor at KRW1,101.70.

Fig. 1: USD/KRW

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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