Free Trial

Cheap Views in Consumer & Transport

CONSUMER CYCLICALS
  • Cheap view bond performances through last week's sell-off below. Note spreads against swaps were more mute for index (our RV views are taken on Z/OAS).
  • Decompression was strong in markets and unclear how much of this is on HY bonds that stream on px being left as is. It did hit all three of our HY views in Coty, Finnair & Elo/Auchan.
  • Elo, which is French, is of most concern for us given earnings ahead. It was/is a falling knife but came well wide in primary to curve (57bps) & CDS - curve has repriced wider since.
  • We are not worried about Coty28s moves.

Indices:
  • €IG (+0.6) to +80.4
  • £IG (+10) to +147
  • €BBB (+2.9) to +109
  • €BB (+30) to +189
  • €B (+58) to +464
0-3y
  • WBA (£) 25s (+4) at UKT+137
  • ISS Global 26s (-3) at Z+59
3-5y
  • IDS 28s (-10) at Z+152
  • Pluxee 28s (-7) at Z+79
  • Woolworths 28s (+1.5) at Z+88
  • Coty 28s (+37) at OAS+118 (eff. duration 1.8Y)
  • Finnair 29s (+26) at Z+230
  • Elo/Auchan new April 28s (+40) at Z+319
  • PVH 29s (-8) at Z+129
  • Bary Callebaut 29s (-17) at Z+103
5y+
  • PostNL 31s (-10), at Z+178
  • Tesco 31s (-7), at Z+101
  • BAT 32s (-6), at Z+154
  • Tesco (£) 34s (+5) at UKT+133
187 words

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
  • Cheap view bond performances through last week's sell-off below. Note spreads against swaps were more mute for index (our RV views are taken on Z/OAS).
  • Decompression was strong in markets and unclear how much of this is on HY bonds that stream on px being left as is. It did hit all three of our HY views in Coty, Finnair & Elo/Auchan.
  • Elo, which is French, is of most concern for us given earnings ahead. It was/is a falling knife but came well wide in primary to curve (57bps) & CDS - curve has repriced wider since.
  • We are not worried about Coty28s moves.

Indices:
  • €IG (+0.6) to +80.4
  • £IG (+10) to +147
  • €BBB (+2.9) to +109
  • €BB (+30) to +189
  • €B (+58) to +464
0-3y
  • WBA (£) 25s (+4) at UKT+137
  • ISS Global 26s (-3) at Z+59
3-5y
  • IDS 28s (-10) at Z+152
  • Pluxee 28s (-7) at Z+79
  • Woolworths 28s (+1.5) at Z+88
  • Coty 28s (+37) at OAS+118 (eff. duration 1.8Y)
  • Finnair 29s (+26) at Z+230
  • Elo/Auchan new April 28s (+40) at Z+319
  • PVH 29s (-8) at Z+129
  • Bary Callebaut 29s (-17) at Z+103
5y+
  • PostNL 31s (-10), at Z+178
  • Tesco 31s (-7), at Z+101
  • BAT 32s (-6), at Z+154
  • Tesco (£) 34s (+5) at UKT+133