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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessCheaper But Off Post-FOMC Lows, Stacked Data Docket Ahead
- Cash Tsys have been under pressure through both Asia and European sessions as participants adjust to hawkish Fed rhetoric with its 5.6% median dot for 2023, but remain off post-announcement lows for both outright and curve levels. There is an unusually stacked data docket today along with continued heavy bill issuance.
- 2YY +4.9bp at 4.737%, 5YY +4.4bp at 4.034%, 10YY +3.1bp at 3.817% and 30YY +1.3bp at 3.895. 2s10s sit at -91.5bps off yesterday’s low of -94.6bps after what was a fresh low since Mar 10 on the decision.
- TYU3 trades 6 ticks lower at 112-22 off support at yesterday’s post FOMC announcement low of 112-12+, after which lies 112-00 (Mar 10 low). Volumes are notably above recent averages approaching 350k.
- Data: Retail sales May (0830ET), Weekly initial claims (0830ET), Empire & Philly Fed mfg index Jun (0830ET), Import prices May (0830ET), IP & cap util May (0915ET), Business inventories Apr (1000ET), TIC flows Apr (1600ET).
- Fedspeak: The blackout continues as usual until midnight, but Bullard and Waller are scheduled for early tomorrow in a potentially interesting start to the day after yesterday’s SEP showed 2 members calling for three more hikes and 1 for four.
- Bill issuance: US Tsy $65B 4W, $55B 8W bill auctions (1130ET)
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.