RBA SAYS SOME UPSIDE INFLATION RISKS HAVE EASED.

MNI: RBA LEAVES CASH RATE AT 4.35%

CHINA NOV EXPORTS +6.7% Y/Y VS MEDIAN +8.9% Y/Y: CUSTOMS

MNI: CHINA YTD EXPORTS +6.7% Y/Y IN YUAN TERM: CUSTOMS

MNI: PBOC Net Injects CNY90.3 Bln via OMO Tuesday

MNI: PBOC Sets Yuan Parity Higher At 7.1896 Tues; -1.71% Y/Y

EZ/UK Bond Supply Calendar: Austria, UK Auction on Tuesday

EZ/UK T-Bill Calendar: Spain, Belgium Auction on Tuesday

MNI:US OCT WHOLESALE INV 0.2%; SALES -0.1%

MNI EXCLUSIVE: EU-Mercosur Deal Close, But Likely Short-Lived - Officials

AUSTRALIA: 2025 Election Outcome Looking More Uncertain According To Newspoll

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Cheaper With Missile Friendly Fire Ahead Of Stacked Docket

US TSYS
  • Cash Tsys sit cheaper after indications from both the US and Poland that there is no indication yesterday’s missile strike was launched from Russia, more likely Ukrainian air defense. Poland’s Duda says it may not be necessary to invoke NATO Article 4.
  • Elsewhere, Target’s disappointing earnings help keep a small bid (EPS $1.54 vs 2.15 expected) whilst globally, Reuters report China government advisers recommending a 2023 growth target of 4.5-5.5%.
  • 2YY +2.5bps at 4.363%, 5YY +1bps at 3.906%, 10YY +1.3bps at 3.783%, and 30YY +0.9bps at 3.97%.
  • TYZ2 trades 2 ticks higher at 112-20, between session lows of 112-08 and overnight highs of 112-27. Initial resistance is seen at yesterday’s high of 112-31+.
  • Fedspeak: NY Fed Williams (0950ET), VC Supervision Barr (1000ET), Daly (1000ET), and Gov. Waller (1435ET).
  • Data: Highlights are likely retail sales (0830ET) and IP (0915ET) but also see the NAHB housing index, international trade prices, business inventories, TIC flows plus usual weekly MBA mortgage applications/rate.
  • Bond issuance: US Tsy $15B 20Y Bond auction (912810TM0) – 1300ET
  • Bill issuance: US Tsy 17W bill auction – 1130ET
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