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CHILE: USDCLP Rises Back Above 900 Level After Weak Activity Data

CHILE
  • The Chilean peso came under pressure yesterday after weak economic activity data kept the door firmly open to further interest rate cuts. USDCLP rose by 0.69% to close at 905 after the 0.2% m/m decline in the IMACEC activity index in August, which was below consensus for a 0.3% rise.
  • BBVA says that the weaker-than-expected data should keep inflationary pressures from building and allow the dovish policy from the central bank to continue. They also believe that copper prices have stabilised, which should also limit the potential for further declines in USDCLP meaningfully below 900 for now.
  • No macro data are due today, with the next releases in the local calendar scheduled to be September trade and CPI inflation figures, across October 7/8. The next BCCh monetary policy meeting is scheduled for October 17, when recent survey data have suggested that another 25bp rate cut is expected.
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  • The Chilean peso came under pressure yesterday after weak economic activity data kept the door firmly open to further interest rate cuts. USDCLP rose by 0.69% to close at 905 after the 0.2% m/m decline in the IMACEC activity index in August, which was below consensus for a 0.3% rise.
  • BBVA says that the weaker-than-expected data should keep inflationary pressures from building and allow the dovish policy from the central bank to continue. They also believe that copper prices have stabilised, which should also limit the potential for further declines in USDCLP meaningfully below 900 for now.
  • No macro data are due today, with the next releases in the local calendar scheduled to be September trade and CPI inflation figures, across October 7/8. The next BCCh monetary policy meeting is scheduled for October 17, when recent survey data have suggested that another 25bp rate cut is expected.