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China GDP Slows as Rolling Lockdowns Crimp Demand

CROSS ASSET
  • An understandably subdued morning, with EU and UK market holidays limiting price action and newsflow.
  • China GDP data overnight came in ahead of market expectations, putting the Y/Y growth rate at 4.8% - a pace still below the Politboro target. Rolling lockdowns and a re-flaring of COVID across major industrial cities were cited, as the raft of data showed consumer spending falling at the largest clip since the initial breakout of the virus in 2020. For the first time since the resurgence of COVID, fatalities have now been reported in Shanghai.
  • Conflict across Ukraine persisted over the weekend, with Kyiv reporting several missile strikes in the Western city of Lviv - just 70km east of the Polish border. The strikes are said to have resulted in a number of fatalities, and show that no part of the country is exempt from the Russian invasion despite the pullback of Russian forces into eastern territories.
  • The Kremlin this morning stated that talks with Ukraine are continuing on an 'expert' level, but there remain few signs of progress. On gas payments, Moscow have stated that there remains time for payments to switch to RUB, with some settlements expected in May.
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