CHINA/JAPAN: Buyers are streaming back......>

US TSYS: CHINA/JAPAN: Buyers are streaming back into US Treasury market from

Asia, once again, and it's making a difference. This Asian flow is from China as

it return from Golden week holidays last week, and Japan as the new fiscal half

year gets underway. - MNI thinks this flow will continue near term as contacts

tell us yield stability is key for such clients to be drawn into Tsys, and

stability is amply demonstrated by the contained level of MOVE index of Treasury

mkt volatility. - One good indicator is tonight's Japanese MOF data of foreign

bond buying flows. The last data, out Oct. 5th, showed a large $10Bln OUTflow

from foreign bonds through week of Sept. 29th, as often occurs into

half-year-end close, said BMO analyst Aaron Kohli, "the largest since late

April." - "We have been writing that seasonally by end-October, you have a big

flip in Japanese flows on Treasuries, and they will essentially start buying,"

Kohli said. "We are basically watching tonight's data to see if that turn has

occurred. If the MOF data reflects this turn in Japanese flows in foreign bonds,

we will conclude that buying has started."