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China’s Refined Oil Product Exports Maintain Momentum: OilChem

OIL PRODUCTS

China’s refined oil exports profits have been rising during 2024, according to OilChem, driven by sluggish domestic demand.

  • Export profits of gasoline rose 116% from 152y/mt in January to 329 y/mt in South China for February.
  • Gasoil profits averaged 580y/mt in February, compared to 290 y/mt in January.
  • Extensive snowy weather in North China has kept a lid on gasoil demand, which is often used in the construction and agricultural sectors. The onset of the ploughing sector is likely to be supportive, however.
  • Contrary to other sources, OilChem expect gasoline demand to improve amid a rise in commuting and school runs after the end of the Lunar New Year holiday. Platts see a slowing in gasoline demand following the holiday.
  • Throughput through state-run refineries is forecasted to rise 1.2 percentage points, boosting output, and offsetting any demand uptick vis a vis profits.

Source: OilChem

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