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Chinese Oil Product Exports Slipping - Further Dips Expected March
Improving domestic fuel demand, coupled with cooling export margins, have weighed on China’s product exports in 2023 which are forecast to fall further still in March.
- Oilchem released a note earlier this week forecasting that China’s gasoil exports will dip 80% in March versus Feb.
- China’s crude consumption is expected to pick up in 2H 2023, after the Q2 peak refinery maintenance season, with a 0.6 – 1mbd year-on-year growth for 2023 according to Vortexa. Product exports will remain limited in the meantime.
- Chinese oil product exports have fallen dramatically from December to February as it becomes more favorable to keep oil products for the domestic market as consumption surges on a recovering economy (see chart).
source: Vortexa
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