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Cleveland Fed Median CPI Moderates M/M, But 30-Yr High Y/Y

US DATA

The Cleveland Fed's reading for November median CPI moderated to 0.45% M/M from 0.57% in Oct, but that's the 2nd highest figure since 1982 (the highest was Oct). Y/Y was 3.52%, up from 3.14% in Oct - and the highest since Dec 1991.

  • The Cleveland Fed's 16% trimmed-mean CPI was +0.52% (down from 0.71% in Oct), 4.55% Y/Y (up from 4.12% in Oct), the highest since May 1991.
  • As we have noted before, per the Cleveland Fed, the median metric - which excludes all price changes apart from the one in the center of the distribution of price changes" - "is even better at forecasting PCE inflation in the near and longer term than the core PCE price index."

Source: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, MNI

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