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CNH Industrial (CNHI Baa2/BBB+/BBB+): New Issue FV Analysis

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  • IPT: CNH Industrial EUR Benchmark 7Y MS+145 Area.
  • We see FV at MS+103a, ~10bp through the TRAGR (Baa2/BBB/NR) curve.
  • CNHI last issued € in 2019, we expect this to come with a reasonable discount to theoretical FV with the seasoned bonds looking a little tight here.
  • Next benchmark maturities are $500mn in 05/25, €650mn in 09/25 with smaller CAD and AUD maturities in front. Appears to be another reverse Yankee early refi.

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