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CNH TN Points Move To Multi-Week Highs, Liquidity Drain Likely Forms Part Of Yuan Defence

CNH

CNH TN points move to the highest level seen since early February, signalling tighter liquidity in offshore yuan markets.

  • State-backed banks will likely be withdrawing liquidity in a bid to limit/slow further yuan weakness.
  • That comes after Friday saw an uptick in yuan devaluation discussions as the PBoC allowed USD/CNY to move above CNY7.20 for the first time this year.
  • The Bank has since deployed a firmer bias against yuan weakness via its mid-point fixing.
  • Medium-term, the Chinese macro policy easing bias and growth worries are set to continue to weigh on the yuan.
  • We have previously flagged that any further yuan weakness will be managed by the authorities, given their well-documented preferences surrounding currency levels/movement.

Fig. 1: USD/CNH TN Forward Points

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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