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Free AccessCNH: USD/CNH Above 7.1200, But Yuan Outperforms Higher Beta FX
USD/CNH tracks near 7.1200 in early Wednesday dealings. Intra session highs from Tuesday were just above 7.1300. CNH lost a little ground on Tuesday but outperformed the higher beta currencies which faltered amid sharp risk off in the equity space. USD/CNY spot finished up just above 7.1200 as well. The CNY CFETS basket tracker moderated slightly to 98.15, after rising nearly 0.70% for the prior two sessions. Yen rallied nearly 1% on Tuesday.
- For USD/CNH technicals, above Tuesday intra-session highs the descending 20-day EMA rests near 7.1420. Recent lows remain intact at 7.0710 from the end of August.
- On the data front today we have the Caixin services PMI out. The market expects a 51.8 outcome, versus 52.1 prior. The composite Caixin PMI also prints, there is no consensus for this print, with the prior being 51.2.
- Broader risk trends will also be in focus today, although China equities typically display a lower beta with respect to such moves. To recap, the CSI 300 index managed a modest 0.26% gain yesterday but remains close to recent lows. In Tuesday US trade, the Nasdaq Golden Dragon index lost 0.86%.
- The bias around onshore CGB yields remains lower, particularly at the front end (2yr ending under 1.43% yesterday). Still, US yield shifts are likely to dictate US-CH yield differential trends. Overnight weakness amid softer US data (ISM remaining well below 50.0), should see yield differentials move off recent highs.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.