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CNH: Will It Climb Higher?

AUD

AUD/CNH continues to move within an ascending channel drawn off lows printed in Oct/Nov, when the rate charted a double bottom formation, but there are some significant resistance levels ahead. Despite a shooting star candlestick pattern completed into the end of 2020, which heralded Monday's sell-off, the rate managed to recover. In addition, the 50-DMA has narrowed in on the 100-DMA and sits just a handful of pips below it, with bulls on the lookout for a potential signal here. However, although the rate peeked above Dec 31 high of CNH5.0368 both yesterday and today, it has struggled to make much headway beyond there. A bullish DMA crossover coupled with a break above Aug 31 high of CNH5.0692 would generate topside impetus, bringing channel resistance at CNH5.0745 into play. Conversely, a slide through channel support/Jan 5 low/Jan 4 low at CNH4.9432/19/03 would give bears some reprieve, turning focus to Dec 22/23 lows of CNH4.9181/79. The rate sits -157 pips at CNH5.0170 as we type.

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