MNI China Daily Summary: Monday, October 14

MNI BRIEF: China Sep M2 Rises To Four-Month High

MNI BRIEF: China Foreign Trade Grow Steady; Exports +4.3% YTD

MNI BRIEF: China Foreign Trade Facing Pressure In Q4

CHINA YTD NEW LOANS CNY16.0 TRLN VS MEDIAN CNY16.3 TRLN: PBOC

CHINA SEP EXPORTS +2.4% Y/Y VS MEDIAN +6.0% Y/Y: CUSTOMS

EZ/UK Bond Supply Calendar: Luxembourg Synd; UK, FI Due Tuesday

MNI: CHINA YTD EXPORTS +6.2% Y/Y IN YUAN TERM: CUSTOMS

MNI BRIEF: China Sep CPI Slows To 0.4% Y/Y On Base Effects

CANADA: Politics Week: Parliament Opens With Early Election Threats

AUSTRALIA: Albanese Lines Up Budget for May Election

AUSTRALIA: Albanese Lines Up Budget for May Election

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COMMODITIES: Spot Gold Hits Fresh All-Time High, Crude Climbs

COMMODITIES
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  • Spot gold rose 1.7% to a new record high at $2,555/oz today, following the ECB rate cut and latest US data which reinforced expectations for a first Fed cut next week.
  • A bullish structure in gold remains intact, reinforced by today’s gains, which ended the recent consolidation. The focus next is on $2,565.75, a Fibonacci projection.
  • Meanwhile, silver has outperformed, rising by 3.9% to $29.8/oz, its highest level since Aug 28.
  • For silver, however, a medium-term bearish cycle remains intact and short-term gains are considered corrective.
  • Key short-term resistance has been defined at $30.192, the Aug 26 high. A breach of this hurdle would cancel the bearish theme and expose $30.502, a Fibonacci retracement.
  • Copper is also up by 1.3% at $419/lb, having earlier in the session risen towards $424, its highest level since end-August.
  • WTI is headed for its highest close since Sep. 5. Support comes from a weaker USD and better risk sentiment. Crude has continued its rebound after Brent reached a low of $68.68/bbl earlier this week.
  • WTI Oct 24 is up 2.7% at $69.1/bbl.
  • From a technical perspective, WTI futures remain in a bearish condition and short-term gains are considered corrective. A renewed move lower would open $63.93 next, a Fibonacci projection point, while on the upside firm resistance is at $71.56, the 20-day EMA.
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  • Spot gold rose 1.7% to a new record high at $2,555/oz today, following the ECB rate cut and latest US data which reinforced expectations for a first Fed cut next week.
  • A bullish structure in gold remains intact, reinforced by today’s gains, which ended the recent consolidation. The focus next is on $2,565.75, a Fibonacci projection.
  • Meanwhile, silver has outperformed, rising by 3.9% to $29.8/oz, its highest level since Aug 28.
  • For silver, however, a medium-term bearish cycle remains intact and short-term gains are considered corrective.
  • Key short-term resistance has been defined at $30.192, the Aug 26 high. A breach of this hurdle would cancel the bearish theme and expose $30.502, a Fibonacci retracement.
  • Copper is also up by 1.3% at $419/lb, having earlier in the session risen towards $424, its highest level since end-August.
  • WTI is headed for its highest close since Sep. 5. Support comes from a weaker USD and better risk sentiment. Crude has continued its rebound after Brent reached a low of $68.68/bbl earlier this week.
  • WTI Oct 24 is up 2.7% at $69.1/bbl.
  • From a technical perspective, WTI futures remain in a bearish condition and short-term gains are considered corrective. A renewed move lower would open $63.93 next, a Fibonacci projection point, while on the upside firm resistance is at $71.56, the 20-day EMA.