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Bullish Price Sequence


Corrective Pullback

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Risk tone was constructive in the Asia-Pac session as Evergrande worries take a back seat, this saw the greenback give back some of Friday's gains. AUD was top of the G10 pile after the NSW Premier said October 11 was the provisional date for a substantial loosening of restrictions while a rally across the commodity complex also helped support. The move helped support NZD which saw a more muted move higher, PM Ardern said New Zealand would start a small self-isolation pilot for business travellers soon.

  • JPY strengthened as USD retreated; In Japan local news flow continues to fixate on the upcoming LDP Party election (with reports suggesting that the first round may not result in a majority winner) and COVID (with reports pointing to all related state of emergencies being lifted come the end of this month).
  • USD/CAD is lower as CAD gets an extra boost from the gain in oil prices, both WTI and Brent up by almost 1.5% so far on Monday.
  • EUR holding steady despite German political gridlock, GBP has recovered some early losses, there are some jitters surrounding the evolving fuel issues in the UK. The local press has suggested that UK PM Johnson will enlist the help of the military to deliver fuel in the coming days, after panic buying has resulted in fuel shortages
  • Focus in the coming week turns to a speech from FOMC Chair Powell, the fallout from the German election uncertainty, MNI Chicago Business Barometer data as well as the ISM and University of Michigan releases.