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Consumer Confidence Weakens As Economy Slows

NEW ZEALAND

ANZ Roy Morgan consumer confidence fell sharply in March by 8.6% bringing the level to its lowest in six months. Both the assessment of current and future conditions and most components were weaker. ANZ believes that the slowing economy and easing labour market as well as talk of “recession” drove the decline.

  • ANZ believes that sentiment took a hit from media reports of a “recession” after Q4 GDP showed the economy had shrunk for two consecutive quarters. Responses after Q4 GDP was released on March 21 were “markedly weaker” than those from earlier in the month, but all weeks showed a decline on February.
  • Inflation expectations for two years ahead were steady at 4.5% but still above pre-pandemic levels and so the RBNZ would likely want to see them fall further to ensure wage inflation follows.
  • Perceptions of the economic outlook were particularly weak falling 14 points for a year ahead and 10 for 5-years. Personal finance and time to buy were also soft.
NZ ANZ Roy Morgan consumer confidence

Source: MNI - Market News/Refinitiv

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