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Consumer Credit Surprises Softer In March, Matching Some SLOOS Signs

US DATA
  • Released yesterday, consumer credit increased by less than expected in March, rising $6.3bn (cons $15bn) albeit after two months of upward revisions with $15.0bn in Feb (initially $14.1bn) and $18.3bn in Jan (initially $17.7bn).
  • Monthly growth came entirely from nonrevolving credit (+$6.1bn) whilst revolving credit essentially flatlined (+$0.15bn).
  • Equivalent to just +0.1% annualized, revolving credit saw its smallest increase since Apr’21.
  • Month-to-month changes can be volatile but the findings for March lend some support to Monday’s SLOOS release, where consumer loan categories saw a bucking of broader trends from both a lending standards and demand angle.
  • Specifically, auto loans saw a broader tightening in Q1 than in Q4, whilst demand for all main categories of consumer loans declined across a greater share of respondents (with credit card demand seeing its largest share of a decline since the pandemic).

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