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Consumer Sentiment Close to a 10Y Low Despite Strong Momentum in Equities

US
  • It is interesting to see that despite the sharp recovery in equities in the past 18 months, US consumer confidence has remained depressed.
  • The chart below shows the strong divergence between the SP500 index, which generally represents a proxy for the economic activity, and Michigan Consumer Confidence, which is currently standing close to a 10-year low.
  • Consumers' outlook of their personal financial prospects have been worsening in the past few months due to the rising uncertainty over the Delta variant.
  • Hence, some investors have been concerned that US risky assets still look 'fragile' as Fed prepares for tapering and equities could face several rounds of sell-off as liquidity contracts in the coming months.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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