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Consumer Sentiment Dips Further, Inflation Expectations Firm A Touch

SOUTH KOREA

Headline South Korean consumer sentiment continued to lose momentum in October. The index dipped to 98.1 from 99.7 prior. We are now comfortably off mid year highs for the index, although mid -2022 lows are still some distance away. The first chart below overlays the index against y/y GDP growth.

  • In terms of the detail, the domestic economy situation slipped, whilst the change in interest rates sub index also rose. Spending plans were relatively unchanged though compared with September.
  • Note we get Q3 GDP tomorrow in South Korea.

Fig 1: South Korean Consumer Sentiment & GDP Y/Y

Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

  • In terms of prices, the expected inflation level ticked higher to 3.4%, after holding steady at 3.3% for the past 3 months. The second chart below overlays this expectation index against headline inflation in y/y terms.
  • Expected wages and house prices ticked down in October though.

Fig 2: South Korean Consumer Inflation Expectations & CPI Y/Y


Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg

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