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Copom Decision Due Wednesday, Spending Bill Debate In Congress

BRAZIL
  • All analysts are expecting an unchanged decision from the Copom this week, maintaining the Selic rate at 13.75%. The focus within the statement will be on any hardening of the language surrounding the fiscal backdrop and the balance of risks for the committee’s outlook. The full MNI preview with analyst views will be published later today.
  • The key immediate potential local driver will be the approval of the spending bill aimed at opening fiscal room for President-elect Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva to fulfill his campaign promises.
  • The spending bill, which excludes some social spending from the country’s fiscal cap for four years, will likely be modified to two years, said Senator Marcelo Castro after a meeting with the presidents of the Senate Rodrigo Pacheco and the lower house speaker Arthur Lira.
    • The bill is expected to begin its passage through Congress today with debate in the Senate’s constitution and justice committee.
  • Regarding cabinet/fin min picks, Lula said last week that his future cabinet will be announced after Dec. 12.

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