FREELAND: CANADA WON'T ESCALATE OR BACK DOWN ON US TRADE FIGHT

MNI: PBOC To Aim To Drive Inflation Higher- Advisors

MNI: China To Issue More Bonds As Stimulus Targets Consumption

MNI: PBOC To Aim To Drive Inflation Higher- Advisors

MNI: China To Issue More Bonds As Stimulus Targets Consumption

MNI BRIEF: China Nov M1 Decline Narrows, M2 Slows

EZ/UK T-Bill Calendar: 8/13/28/50-Week BTF Auction on Monday

EZ/UK Bond Supply Calendar: 4.125% Jul-29 Gilt Due on Tuesday

MNI: CANADA OCT WHOLESALE SALES +3.3%; EX-AUTOS +0.5%

MNI EXCLUSIVE: EU-Mercosur Deal Close, But Likely Short-Lived - Officials

AUSTRALIA: 2025 Election Outcome Looking More Uncertain According To Newspoll

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MNI DATA FORECASTS: Fed, ECB and BOE in Crosshairs

Forecasts for data releases in the week commencing December 12

DateGMT/LocalImpactPeriodFlagCountryReleasePriorConsensus
12/12/20220700/0700**OctUKGDP - 3m y/y2.4--%
12/12/20220700/0700**OctUKGDP - 3m/3m-0.3-0.4%
12/12/20220700/0700**OctUKGDP - m/m-0.60.4%
12/12/20220700/0700**OctUKNon-EU Trade Balance-8.551--GBP (b)
12/12/20220700/0700**OctUKTotal Trade Balance-3.135-3.4GBP (b)
12/12/20220700/0700**OctUKVisible Trade Balance-15.656-15.3GBP (b)
12/12/20220700/0700***OctUKIndustrial Production m/m0.2-0.1%
12/12/20220700/0700***OctUKIndustrial Production y/y-3.1-2.6%
12/12/20220700/0700***OctUKManufacturing Output m/m0.0-0.1%
12/12/20220700/0700***OctUKManufacturing Output y/y-5.8-5.4%
12/12/20220700/0700**OctUKIndex of Services 3m/3m0.0-0.1%
12/12/20220700/0700**OctUKIndex of Services m/m-0.80.5%
12/12/20220700/0700**OctUKConstruction Output m/m0.40.0%
12/12/20220700/0700**OctUKConstruction Output y/y5.76.4%
12/12/20221330/0830*Q3CAHsehold debt/disposable income----%
12/12/20221600/1100**DecUSNY Fed expectations survey----
12/12/20221630/1130*16-DecUSBid to Cover Ratio2.57--
12/12/20221630/1130***DecUSBid to Cover Ratio2.57--
12/12/20221800/1300**DecUSBid to Cover Ratio2.23--
12/12/20221800/1300*16-DecUSBid to Cover Ratio2.67--
12/12/20221900/1400**NovUSTreasury budget balance-87.8--USD (b)
13/12/20220700/0800***NovDEHICP (f) m/m0.00.0%
13/12/20220700/0800***NovDEHICP (f) y/y11.311.3%
13/12/20220700/0700***OctUKAWE (inc bonus) 3m/3m y/y6.06.2%
13/12/20220700/0700***OctUKAvg Earnings(ex-bonus) 3m3m yy5.75.9%
13/12/20220700/0700***OctUKILO Unemployment Rate3.63.7%
13/12/20220700/0700***OctUKPrev Claimant Count Revised3.9-- (k)
13/12/20220700/0700***OctUKUnemployment Claimant Count3.3-- (k)
13/12/20220700/0800**NOGDP Mainland m/m0.40.2%
13/12/20220700/0800**NOGDP m/m0.5--%
13/12/20220900/1000*OctITIndustrial Production m/m-1.8-0.3%
13/12/20220900/1000*OctITIndustrial Production wda y/y-0.5--%
13/12/20221000/1000**16-DecUKBid to Cover Ratio----
13/12/20221000/1100***DecDEZEW Expectations Index-36.7-27.0
13/12/20221000/1100***DecDEZEW Current Conditions Index-64.5-57.0
13/12/20221100/0600**NovUSNFIB Small Business Index91.390.8
13/12/20221330/0830***NovUSCPI Ex Food and Energy m/m0.30.3%
13/12/20221330/0830***NovUSCPI Ex Food and Energy y/y (core nsa)6.36.1%
13/12/20221330/0830***NovUSCPI m/m0.40.3%
13/12/20221330/0830***NovUSCPI y/y (nsa)7.77.3%
13/12/20221355/0855**10-DecUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (month)----%
13/12/20221355/0855**10-DecUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (week)----%
13/12/20221500/1000**DecUSIBD/TIPP Optimism Index40.4--
13/12/20221800/1300***DecUSBid to Cover Ratio2.42--
14/12/20220001/0001*DecUKXpertHR Median Pay Award 3m4.0--%
14/12/20220700/0700***NovUKCPI m/m2.00.6%
14/12/20220700/0700***NovUKCPI y/y11.110.9%
14/12/20220700/0700***NovUKCore CPI y/y6.56.6%
14/12/20220700/0800***NovSECPIF y/y9.39.6%
14/12/20220800/0900***NovESHICP (f) m/m-0.5-0.5%
14/12/20220800/0900***NovESHICP (f) y/y6.66.6%
14/12/20220930/0930*NovUKHalifax house prices 3m y/y9.511.2%
14/12/20221000/1100**OctEUIndustrial Production m/m0.9-1.5%
14/12/20221000/1100**OctEUIndustrial Production y/y wda4.93.5%
14/12/20221200/0700**09-DecUSMBA Mortgage Applications w/w-1.9--%
14/12/20221330/0830**NovUSExports Price Index m/m-0.3-0.6%
14/12/20221330/0830**NovUSImports Price Index m/m-0.2-0.5%
14/12/20221530/1030**09-DecUSCrude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w----bbl (m)
14/12/20221530/1030**09-DecUSDistillate Stocks w/w change----bbl (m)
14/12/20221530/1030**09-DecUSGasoline Stocks w/w change----bbl (m)
14/12/20221900/1400***USFederal Funds Rate Range Maximum4.04.5%
14/12/20221900/1400***USInterest Rate Paid on Reserve Balances (IORB)3.9--%
15/12/20222145/1045***Q3NZGDP q/q1.70.9%
15/12/20222145/1045***Q3NZGDP y/y0.45.4%
15/12/20220030/1130***NovAUEmployed Persons change m/m32.217.0 (k)
15/12/20220030/1130***NovAULabor Participation Rate66.566.6%
15/12/20220030/1130***NovAUUnemployment Rate3.43.4%
15/12/20220200/1000***ytdCNUrban Fixed-Asset Investment y/y5.8--%
15/12/20220200/1000***NovCNretail sales y/y-0.5--%
15/12/20220200/1000***NovCNIndustrial Output y/y5.0--%
15/12/20220200/1000**NovCNSurveyed Unemployment Rate5.5--%
15/12/20220745/0845***NovFRHICP (f) m/m0.50.5%
15/12/20220745/0845***NovFRHICP (f) y/y7.17.1%
15/12/20220745/0845**DecFRManufacturing Sentiment101.0101
15/12/20220830/0930DecCHSNB Policy Rate0.51.0%
15/12/20220900/1000***NOInterest Rate Decision2.52.75%
15/12/20221200/1200***UKBank of England Bank Rate3.03.5%
15/12/20221200/1200***UKBank of England Bank Rate3.03.5%
15/12/20221315/0815**NovCACMHC Housing Starts267.1-- (k)
15/12/20221315/1415***EUECB Deposit Rate1.52.0%
15/12/20221315/1415***EUECB Refinancing Rate2.02.5%
15/12/20221315/1415***EUECB Lending Rate %2.252.75%
15/12/20221330/0830**10-DecUSContinuing Claims1671.01675 (k)
15/12/20221330/0830**10-DecUSInitial Jobless Claims230.0232 (k)
15/12/20221330/0830**10-DecUSPrev Continuing Claims, Rev1609.0-- (k)
15/12/20221330/0830**10-DecUSPrev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev226.0-- (k)
15/12/20221330/0830***NovUSRetail Sales (ex-auto) m/m1.30.2%
15/12/20221330/0830***NovUSRetail Sales (ex-auto, gas) m/m0.90.0%
15/12/20221330/0830***NovUSRetail Sales m/m1.3-0.1%
15/12/20221330/0830**DecUSEmpire Manufacturing Index4.5-0.8
15/12/20221330/0830**DecUSPhiladelphia Fed Mfg Index-19.4-10.0
15/12/20221330/0830**08-DecUSCorn Net Sales----MT (k)
15/12/20221330/0830**08-DecUSCorn Weekly Exports----MT (k)
15/12/20221330/0830**08-DecUSSoy Net Sales----MT (k)
15/12/20221330/0830**08-DecUSSoy Weekly Exports----MT (k)
15/12/20221330/0830**08-DecUSWheat Net Sales----MT (k)
15/12/20221330/0830**08-DecUSWheat Weekly Exports----MT (k)
15/12/20221400/0900*NovCACREA Existing Home Sales Monthly1.3-- (k)
15/12/20221415/0915***NovUSCapacity Utilization79.979.9%
15/12/20221415/0915***NovUSIndustrial Production m/m-0.10.1%
15/12/20221415/0915***NovUSPrevious Capacity Utilization Revised80.1--%
15/12/20221415/0915***NovUSPrevious Industrial Production Revised0.1--%
15/12/20221500/1000*OctUSBusiness Inventories m/m0.40.4%
15/12/20221530/1030**09-DecUSNatural Gas Stocks w/w----Bcf
15/12/20221900/1400***MXInterest Rate10.010.0%
15/12/20221900/1400***MXInterest Rate Change75.00.5%
15/12/20222100/1600**OctUSLong Term TICS Flows118.0--USD (b)
15/12/20222100/1600**OctUSNet TICS Flows30.9--USD (b)
16/12/20222200/0900***NovAUIHS Markit Composite PMI (p)48.0--
16/12/20222200/0900***NovAUIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (p)51.3--
16/12/20222200/0900***NovAUIHS Markit Services PMI (p)47.6--
16/12/20220001/0001**DecUKGfk Consumer Conf-44.0-43
16/12/20220030/0930**DecJPIHS Markit Flash Composite PMI----
16/12/20220030/0930**DecJPIHS Markit Flash Manufacturing PMI----
16/12/20220030/0930**DecJPIHS Markit Flash Services PMI----
16/12/20220700/0700***NovUKRetail Sales m/m0.60.3%
16/12/20220700/0700***NovUKRetail Sales(ex-fuel) m/m0.30.3%
16/12/20220700/0800**NovSEUnemployment Rate7.77.3%
16/12/20220815/0915**DecFRIHS Markit Services PMI (p)49.349.1
16/12/20220815/0915**DecFRIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (p)48.348.0
16/12/20220830/0930**DecDEIHS Markit Services PMI (p)46.146.5
16/12/20220830/0930**DecDEIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (p)46.246.5
16/12/20220900/1000**DecEUIHS Markit Services PMI (p)48.548.5
16/12/20220900/1000**DecEUIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (p)47.147.1
16/12/20220900/1000**DecEUIHS Markit Composite PMI (p)47.848.0
16/12/20220930/0930***DecUKIHS Markit Manufacturing PMI (flash)46.546.5
16/12/20220930/0930***DecUKIHS Markit Services PMI (flash)48.848.5
16/12/20220930/0930***DecUKIHS Markit Composite PMI (flash)48.248.0
16/12/20221000/1100*OctEUTrade Balance-37.7--E (b)
16/12/20221000/1100**NovITItaly Final HICP m/m0.60.6%
16/12/20221000/1100**NovITItaly Final HICP y/y12.512.5%
16/12/20221000/1100***NovEUHICP (f) m/m-0.1-0.1%
16/12/20221000/1100***NovEUHICP (f) y/y10.010.0%
16/12/20221445/0945***DecUSIHS Markit Mfg Index (flash)47.747.9
16/12/20221445/0945***DecUSIHS Markit Services Index (flash)46.246.5
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
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MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
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