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MNI DATA FORECASTS: Inflation data in focus

Forecasts for data releases in the week commencing February 13

DateGMT/LocalImpactPeriodFlagCountryReleasePriorConsensus
13/02/20230730/0830***JanCHCPI m/m-0.20.4%
13/02/20230730/0830***JanCHCPI y/y2.83.1%
13/02/20231630/1130*17-FebUSBid to Cover Ratio----
13/02/20231630/1130*17-FebUSBid to Cover Ratio----
14/02/20232350/0850***Q4JPGDP (p) annualized-0.82.0%
14/02/20232350/0850***Q4JPGDP (p) q/q-0.20.5%
14/02/20230700/0700***DecUKAWE (inc bonus) 3m/3m y/y6.46.2%
14/02/20230700/0700***DecUKAvg Earnings(ex-bonus) 3m3m yy6.46.5%
14/02/20230700/0700***DecUKILO Unemployment Rate3.73.7%
14/02/20230700/0700***DecUKPrev Claimant Count Revised---- (k)
14/02/20230700/0700***DecUKUnemployment Claimant Count4.0-- (k)
14/02/20230700/0800**NOGDP Mainland m/m----%
14/02/20230700/0800**NOGDP m/m----%
14/02/20231000/1000**17-FebUKBid to Cover Ratio----
14/02/20231000/1100***Q4EUGDP (p) q/q0.10.1%
14/02/20231000/1100***Q4EUGDP (p) y/y1.91.9%
14/02/20231000/1100*Q4EUEmployment q/q0.3--%
14/02/20231000/1100*Q4EUEmployment y/y1.8--%
14/02/20231100/0600**JanUSNFIB Small Business Index89.891.0
14/02/20231330/0830***JanUSCPI Ex Food and Energy m/m0.30.4%
14/02/20231330/0830***JanUSCPI Ex Food and Energy y/y (core nsa)5.75.5%
14/02/20231330/0830***JanUSCPI m/m-0.10.5%
14/02/20231330/0830***JanUSCPI y/y (nsa)6.56.2%
14/02/20231355/0855**11-FebUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (month)----%
14/02/20231355/0855**11-FebUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (week)----%
14/02/20231630/1130*17-FebUSBid to Cover Ratio----
15/02/20230700/0700***JanUKCPI m/m0.4-0.4%
15/02/20230700/0700***JanUKCPI y/y10.510.2%
15/02/20230700/0700***JanUKCore CPI y/y6.36.2%
15/02/20230700/0700***JanUKPPI Input y/y16.514.6%
15/02/20230700/0700***JanUKPPI Output y/y14.713.3%
15/02/20230800/0900***JanESHICP (f) m/m-0.5-0.5%
15/02/20230800/0900***JanESHICP (f) y/y5.85.8%
15/02/20230930/0930*JanUKONS House Price Index y/y----%
15/02/20231000/1100**DecEUIndustrial Production m/m1.0-0.8%
15/02/20231000/1100**DecEUIndustrial Production y/y wda2.0-0.7%
15/02/20231000/1100*DecEUTrade Balance-15.2-16.0E (b)
15/02/20231200/0700**10-FebUSMBA Mortgage Applications w/w----%
15/02/20231315/0815**JanCACMHC Housing Starts---- (k)
15/02/20231330/0830***JanUSRetail Sales (ex-auto) m/m-1.10.8%
15/02/20231330/0830***JanUSRetail Sales (ex-auto, gas) m/m-0.70.8%
15/02/20231330/0830***JanUSRetail Sales m/m-1.11.7%
15/02/20231330/0830**FebUSEmpire Manufacturing Index-32.9-20.0
15/02/20231400/0900*JanCACREA Existing Home Sales Monthly---- (k)
15/02/20231415/0915***JanUSCapacity Utilization78.879.1%
15/02/20231415/0915***JanUSIndustrial Production m/m-0.70.5%
15/02/20231415/0915***JanUSPrevious Capacity Utilization Revised----%
15/02/20231415/0915***JanUSPrevious Industrial Production Revised----%
15/02/20231500/1000*DecUSBusiness Inventories m/m0.40.3%
15/02/20231500/1000**FebUSNAHB home builder index3537
15/02/20231530/1030**10-FebUSCrude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w----bbl (m)
15/02/20231530/1030**10-FebUSDistillate Stocks w/w change----bbl (m)
15/02/20231530/1030**10-FebUSGasoline Stocks w/w change----bbl (m)
15/02/20231800/1300**FebUSBid to Cover Ratio----
15/02/20232100/1600**DecUSLong Term TICS Flows213.1--USD (b)
15/02/20232100/1600**DecUSNet TICS Flows171.5--USD (b)
16/02/20230030/1130***JanAUEmployed Persons change m/m-14.620.0 (k)
16/02/20230030/1130***JanAULabor Participation Rate66.666.6%
16/02/20230030/1130***JanAUUnemployment Rate3.53.5%
16/02/20231330/0830**11-FebUSContinuing Claims---- (k)
16/02/20231330/0830**11-FebUSInitial Jobless Claims---- (k)
16/02/20231330/0830**11-FebUSPrev Continuing Claims, Rev---- (k)
16/02/20231330/0830**11-FebUSPrev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev---- (k)
16/02/20231330/0830**09-FebUSCorn Net Sales----MT (k)
16/02/20231330/0830**09-FebUSCorn Weekly Exports----MT (k)
16/02/20231330/0830**09-FebUSSoy Net Sales----MT (k)
16/02/20231330/0830**09-FebUSSoy Weekly Exports----MT (k)
16/02/20231330/0830**09-FebUSWheat Net Sales----MT (k)
16/02/20231330/0830**09-FebUSWheat Weekly Exports----MT (k)
16/02/20231330/0830***JanUSFinal Demand PPI m/m-0.50.4%
16/02/20231330/0830***JanUSPPI ex-food, energy, trade m/m0.10.2%
16/02/20231330/0830***JanUSPPI ex. food and energy m/m0.10.3%
16/02/20231330/0830***JanUSBuilding Permits---- (m)
16/02/20231330/0830***JanUSBuilding Permits Revised---- (m)
16/02/20231330/0830***JanUSCompletions---- (m)
16/02/20231330/0830***JanUSCompletions Revised---- (m)
16/02/20231330/0830***JanUSHousing Starts---- (m)
16/02/20231330/0830***JanUSHousing Starts Revised---- (m)
16/02/20231330/0830**FebUSPhiladelphia Fed Mfg Index-8.9-6.9
16/02/20231530/1030**10-FebUSNatural Gas Stocks w/w-151-200Bcf
16/02/20231800/1300**Q4USBid to Cover Ratio----
17/02/20230700/0700***JanUKRetail Sales m/m-1.0-0.3%
17/02/20230700/0700***JanUKRetail Sales(ex-fuel) m/m-1.1-0.3%
17/02/20230700/0800**JanSEUnemployment Rate7.57.4%
17/02/20230700/0800**JanDEPPI m/m-0.4--%
17/02/20230700/0800**JanDEPPI y/y21.6--%
17/02/20230745/0845***JanFRHICP (f) m/m0.40.4%
17/02/20230745/0845***JanFRHICP (f) y/y7.07.0%
17/02/20230900/1000**DecEUEZ Current Acc13.6--E (b)
17/02/20231330/0830*JanCAIndustrial Product Prices m/m----%
17/02/20231330/0830*JanCARaw Material Prices m/m----%
17/02/20231330/0830**JanUSExports Price Index m/m----%
17/02/20231330/0830**JanUSImports Price Index m/m----%
17/02/20231500/1000*Q4USService Revenue----%
20/02/20230700/0800***FebSECPIF y/y----%
20/02/20230700/0800**JanDEPPI m/m----%
20/02/20230700/0800**JanDEPPI y/y----%
20/02/20231000/1100**DecEUConstruction Prod m/m----%
20/02/20231000/1100**DecEUConstruction Prod y/y WDA----%
20/02/20231500/1600**FebEUConsumer Confidence (p)----
21/02/20232200/0900***JanAUJudo Bank Composite PMI (p)----
21/02/20232200/0900***JanAUJudo Bank Manufacturing PMI (p)----
21/02/20232200/0900***JanAUJudo Bank Services PMI (p)----
21/02/20230030/0930**FebJPJibun Bank Flash Composite PMI----
21/02/20230030/0930**FebJPJibun Bank Flash Manufacturing PMI----
21/02/20230030/0930**FebJPJibun Bank Flash Services PMI----
21/02/20230700/0700***JanUKCentral Govt Net Cash Requirmt----GBP (b)
21/02/20230700/0700***JanUKPublic Sector Net Borrowing----GBP (b)
21/02/20230745/0845*JanFRRetail Sales y/y----%
21/02/20230815/0915**FebFRS&P Global Services PMI (p)----
21/02/20230815/0915**FebFRS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (p)----
21/02/20230830/0930**FebDES&P Global Services PMI (p)----
21/02/20230830/0930**FebDES&P Global Manufacturing PMI (p)----
21/02/20230900/1000**FebEUS&P Global Services PMI (p)----
21/02/20230900/1000**FebEUS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (p)----
21/02/20230900/1000**FebEUS&P Global Composite PMI (p)----
21/02/20230930/0930***FebUKS&P Global Manufacturing PMI (flash)----
21/02/20230930/0930***FebUKS&P Global Services PMI flash----
21/02/20230930/0930***FebUKS&P Global Composite PMI (flash)----
21/02/20231000/1000**24-FebUKBid to Cover Ratio----
21/02/20231000/1100***FebDEZEW Current Conditions Index----
21/02/20231000/1100***FebDEZEW Expectations Index----
21/02/20231330/0830**DecCARetail Sales (ex-autos) m/m----%
21/02/20231330/0830**DecCARetail Sales m/m----%
21/02/20231330/0830***JanCAHeadline CPI m/m----%
21/02/20231330/0830***JanCAHeadline CPI y/y----%
21/02/20231330/0830**FebUSPhiladelphia Fed Nonmfg Index----
21/02/20231445/0945***FebUSIHS Markit Mfg Index (flash)----
21/02/20231445/0945***FebUSS&P Global Services Index (flash)----
21/02/20231500/1000***JanUSExisting Home Sales---- (m)
22/02/20230030/1130***Q4AUConstruction Work Done q/q----%
22/02/20230030/1130***Q4AUWage Price Index q/q----%
22/02/20230030/1130***Q4AUWage Price Index y/y----%
22/02/20230700/0800***JanDEHICP (f) m/m----%
22/02/20230700/0800***JanDEHICP (f) y/y----%
22/02/20230700/1500**FebCNMNI China Liquidity Conditions Index65.3--
22/02/20230745/0845**FebFRManufacturing Sentiment----
22/02/20230900/1000**JanITItaly Final HICP m/m----%
22/02/20230900/1000**JanITItaly Final HICP y/y----%
22/02/20230900/1000***FebDEIFO Business Climate Index----
22/02/20231200/0700**17-FebUSMBA Mortgage Applications w/w----%
22/02/20231355/0855**18-FebUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (month)----%
22/02/20231355/0855**18-FebUSRedbook Retail Sales y/y (week)----%
22/02/20231400/1500**FebBEBNB Business Sentiment----
23/02/20230030/1130*Q1AUTotal New Capital Expn % SA Q/Q----%
23/02/20230100/1400***FebNZRBNZ OCR----%
23/02/20231000/1100***JanEUHICP (f) m/m----%
23/02/20231000/1100***JanEUHICP (f) y/y----%
23/02/20231100/0600*TRInterest Rate----%
23/02/20231330/0830*DecCAAverage weekly earnings y/y----%
23/02/20231330/0830*DecCAPayroll employment---- (k)
23/02/20231330/0830*Q4CACorporate profits----%
23/02/20231330/0830**18-FebUSContinuing Claims---- (k)
23/02/20231330/0830**18-FebUSInitial Jobless Claims---- (k)
23/02/20231330/0830**18-FebUSPrev Continuing Claims, Rev---- (k)
23/02/20231330/0830**18-FebUSPrev Initial Jobless Claims, Rev---- (k)
23/02/20231330/0830**16-FebUSCorn Net Sales----MT (k)
23/02/20231330/0830**16-FebUSCorn Weekly Exports----MT (k)
23/02/20231330/0830**16-FebUSSoy Net Sales----MT (k)
23/02/20231330/0830**16-FebUSSoy Weekly Exports----MT (k)
23/02/20231330/0830**16-FebUSWheat Net Sales----MT (k)
23/02/20231330/0830**16-FebUSWheat Weekly Exports----MT (k)
23/02/20231330/0830***Q4USGDP annualized QQ (2nd)----%
23/02/20231530/1030**17-FebUSNatural Gas Stocks w/w----Bcf
23/02/20231600/1100**17-FebUSCrude Oil Stocks ex. SPR w/w----bbl (m)
23/02/20231600/1100**17-FebUSDistillate Stocks w/w change----bbl (m)
23/02/20231600/1100**17-FebUSGasoline Stocks w/w change----bbl (m)
23/02/20231600/1100**FebUSKansas City Fed Mfg Index----
24/02/20230001/0001**FebUKGfk Consumer Conf----
24/02/20230700/0800*FebDEGFK Consumer Climate----
24/02/20230745/0845**JanFRConsumer Sentiment----
24/02/20230800/0900**FebSEEconomic Tendency Indicator----
24/02/20230800/0900**JanESPPI m/m----%
24/02/20230800/0900**JanESPPI y/y----%
24/02/20230900/1000***Q4DEGDP (f) q/q----%
24/02/20230900/1000***Q4DEGDP (f) y/y wda----%
24/02/20231330/0830**JanUSCore PCE Price Index m/m----%
24/02/20231330/0830**JanUSCurrent Dollar PCE----%
24/02/20231330/0830**JanUSPersonal Income m/m----%
24/02/20231330/0830**JanUSTotal PCE Price Index m/m----%
24/02/20231500/1000***JanUSNew Home Sales---- (m)
24/02/20231500/1000***JanUSPrevious New Home Sales Revised (millions)---- (m)
24/02/20231500/1000***FebUSMichigan sentiment index (f)----
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
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MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
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