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Could China 'Reopening' Lead To a ST Rebound In Tech Stocks?

CHINA
  • In the past week, business sentiment has started to pick up in China following the positive headlines on China ‘declaring victory’ on Covid.
  • The National Health Commission announced on Tuesday that China will slash the quarantine time for inbound travellers by half (from 14 to 7 days), and will cut the at-home health monitoring from 7 to 3 days.
  • Market has been reacting positively to these headlines so far; the Hang Seng index continues to retrace higher this week, breaking above its 100DMA on Monday.
    • Next resistance to watch on the topside stands at 23,100 (200DMA / 61.8% Fibo retracement).
  • Investors have started to question if China tech could experience a short term rally in the coming weeks.
  • We previously saw that tech equities have not responded to the strong rebound in China ‘liquidity’ since the start of the year.
  • The chart shows the significant divergence between year-on-year change in tech equities and China TSF (also referred as ‘liquidity’).
  • The major risk remains the global macro picture as geopolitical uncertainty combined with stagflation fears could continue to weigh on risky assets globally.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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