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CPI Expected to Inch Closer to 70% in April as Lira Headwinds Increase

TURKEY
  • USD/TRY trades -0.06% lower this morning, tracking early price action in the BBDXY.
  • The cross continued to grind higher yesterday, marking an intraday high at 14.9189 – but failed to close above the figure.
  • The FOMC will be the primary focus this week, with attention paid to Powell’s forward guidance and concern over the path of inflation.
  • Locally, CPI & PPI data will also be monitored as headline figures look set to rise to 67.80% in April – shifting real policy rates to an eye-watering -53.8%.
  • This should keep TRY under pressure in the medium-term with global policy divergences and worsening monthly trade deficits on elevated energy prices injecting additional devaluation pressures.
  • Intraday Sup1: 14.8531, Sup2: 14.8305, Res1: 14.903, Res2: 14.9265

MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 020-3983-7894 | murray.nichol@marketnews.com

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