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CPI Headline Y/Y Momentum Continues To Moderate, But Core Remains Sticky

SOUTH KOREA

South Korea CPI headline y/y was a touch below expectations. We printed at 4.2%, versus the 4.3% consensus. The m/m was as expected (+0.2%), while core held steady at 4.8% y/y.

  • From a headline standpoint we are now comfortably off the July 2022 peak of 6.30% y/y. Still, the detail showed 7 out of 12 sub categories with a firmer y/y pace compared to February.
  • Much of the downside in headline appeared to reflect a sharp fall in transport costs, -5.2% y/y, from 0.4% last month.
  • So, while the authorities will welcome the continued correction lower in headline y/y momentum, they are likely to be mindful of still sticky underlying inflation pressures. The chart below plots headline and core CPI in y/y terms.
  • Note the next BoK meeting is next week on April 11.
Fig 1: South Korea Headline & Core CPI Y/Y

Source: MNI - Market News/ Bloomberg

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