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CPI Steady But Services Inflation Higher

AUSTRALIA DATA

February CPI was steady at 3.4% y/y, slightly lower than Bloomberg consensus. Seasonally adjusted it rose 0.5% m/m and the annual rate is up to 3.7% from 3.5% in December. While the ex volatile items & holiday travel eased 0.2pp to 3.9% y/y, the trimmed mean rose 0.1pp to 3.9% and services were higher too. The mixed messages from the February data confirm the importance of the quarterly CPI due on April 24.

  • Inflation continues to be contained by goods and tradeables prices with them easing to 2.9% y/y and 0.8% respectively, and the lowest since mid-2021.
  • However, domestically driven inflation remains sticky as services in February rose to 4.2% y/y from 3.7% and non-tradeables to 4.8% from 4.7%. This area remains a particular focus of the RBA and as a result of the upcoming Q1 CPI data.
  • Housing, food, alcohol & tobacco and insurance remained the main drivers of annual inflation. Rents rose 7.6% y/y up from 7.4%, as vacancy rates remained low. Insurance is up 16.5% y/y and the rise has been broadbased across types.
Australia CPI y/y%

Source: MNI - Market News/ABS

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