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Crude Backwardation Softens Today But Spreads Trending Higher in May

OIL

Crude backwardation is softening slightly today but has been strengthening this month with the potential for a tighter market in the second half of this year driven by lower OPEC supplies, a demand recovery in China and low US petroleum inventory levels.

  • Upside risks of further cuts at the upcoming OPEC+ meeting on 3-4 June are currently offsetting the US economic concerns and uncertainty over the rate of growth in China.
  • The Dec23-Dec24 up from a low of 2.3$/bbl last week and aroudn 2$/bbl at the start of the month but is still well below the April high of 5.9$/bbl.
    • Brent JUL 23 down -1.1% at 77.53$/bbl
    • WTI JUL 23 down -1.2% at 73.44$/bbl
    • Brent JUL 23-AUG 23 down -0.02$/bbl at 0.11$/bbl
    • Brent DEC 23-DEC 24 down -0.16$/bbl at 3.37$/bbl
    • WTI JUL 23-AUG 23 down -0.03$/bbl at 0.02$/bbl
    • WTI DEC 23-DEC 24 down -0.16$/bbl at 3.85$/bbl


Source: Bloomberg

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