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Crude Dec24 Put Skews Edging More Bearish with Focus on Demand

OIL OPTIONS

The Brent near term crude options put skew has held relatively unchanged since June 5 although longer dated skews are edging slightly wider this week with market focus on demand growth uncertainty.

  • Crude futures are lacking direction in recent days with tighter supply expectations in Q3 set against demand concerns with a reduction in US Fed cut expectations and ongoing uncertainty over growth in China.
  • The Brent crude second month 25 delta call-put skew is today at -2.3% and the WTI second month skew has drifted slightly wider to -3.2% ahead of the WTI July options contract expiry today.
  • The Dec24 call-put skews are also slightly more bearish with Brent down to -2.95% from -2.5% on June 6 and WTI to -3.9% from -3.6%.
  • Crude at the money implied volatility has fallen further to the lowest since 2019. Brent second month volatility is down to 21.7% while WTI is down to 23.6%.
    • Brent AUG 24 up 0.5% at 83.15$/bbl
    • WTI JUL 24 up 0.4% at 78.9$/bbl


Source: Bloomberg

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