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Crude Implied Volatility Lowest Since Jan 2022

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Crude implied volatility falls to the lowest since Jan 2022 after a steady decline so far this year.

  • Brent second month implied volatility has fallen from 45.874% on 4 Jan down to 38.83%.
  • Crude futures have seen a steady rally for much of the month with the market anticipating supply disruption from Russia and a boost to demand this year as China reopens and as central banks potentially end rate tightening.
  • Brent futures are up from around 77.9$/bbl on 4 Jan to 88.3$/bbl today.
  • The Brent second month call-put skew is steady around -3.25% and Dec23 around -5.5%.
    • Brent MAR 23 up 0.7% at 88.25$/bbl
    • WTI MAR 23 up 0.6% at 82.14$/bbl


Source: Bloomberg

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