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Crude Options Maintain Put Skew With Concern for Demand

OIL OPTIONS

The second month crude options call-put skew is holding steady with market focus still on central back rate hikes and on demand concerns rather than OPEC production cuts. The FOMC is expected to hike rates another 25bp on Wednesday and then possibly signal that it will pause.

  • The Brent second month 25 delta call-put skew is today hovering around -6.0% with the WTI skew at -6.7%.
  • The Dec23 skews has closed slightly in the last week with Brent up from -6.5% to -5.4% and WTI up from -7.5% to -6.6%. Despite demand uncertainty many analysts still expect a tighter market in the second half of this year with OPEC cuts starting this month and with a potential recovery in Chinese demand.
  • ATM implied volatility has fallen back from last week with Brent second month volatility now at 35.3% and WTI at 36.6%.
    • Brent JUL 23 down -0.1% at 79.25$/bbl
    • WTI JUN 23 down -0.2% at 75.53$/bbl
    • WTI-Brent down -0.08$/bbl at -3.86$/bbl


Source: Bloomberg

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