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Crude Retains Tuesday’s Losses, US EIA Inventory Data Out Later

OIL

After a technical-driven drop of around 2% on Tuesday, oil prices are slightly higher today with risk sentiment generally weaker. Brent is up 0.1% to $79.61/bbl after a high of $80.01 and WTI is 0.1% higher at $75.60/bbl following $75.95. USD index is 0.1% higher.

  • Oil prices rallied recently driven by oil specific factors such as continued trouble in the Middle East and the politically-motivated closing of Libyan oil fields. But Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley have cut their 2025 crude forecasts due to soft demand from China related to the economy but also the switch to EVs, according to Bloomberg. It is the world’s largest oil importer. These trends are also likely to impact European demand.
  • OPEC plans to reduce its output cuts from October, which is also adding uncertainty to market pricing, but it also said that its intention remains flexible.
  • Bloomberg reported a 3.4mn barrel US crude drawdown last week with gasoline down 1.86mn and distillate -1.41mn. The official EIA data is published later today.
  • Later the Fed’s Waller and Bostic speak. The data calendar is light with only euro area July M3 of note.

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