February 13, 2025 10:30 GMT
OIL: Crude Softening Amidst Ukraine Peace Talks, Easing Middle East Tensions
OIL
Crude softer as supply-side uncertainty eases against backdrop of imminent Ukraine peace talks and signs of softening Israel/Hamas tensions.
- Crude extended losses this morning after headlines suggested that tensions around the Gaza ceasefire deal had eased, with Hamas reaffirming its commitment to the hostage release deal.
- Israel had previously said that delays violated the ceasefire agreement and had placed its military on high alert.
- Softening tensions around the Gaza ceasefire deal lowers the risk of a wider regional conflict, which in the past has drawn Israel and Iran into direct conflict and added to supply-side uncertainty in oil markets.
- Crude had declined earlier as the market digested US President Trump’s confirmation that he talked to Russian President Putin yesterday, saying negotiations on the Russia-Ukraine conflict will begin imminently.
- A peace agreement could see US sanctions on Russia’s energy trade eased, reducing supply-side risks.
- Brent APR 25 down 1.4% at 74.09$/bbl, just under the Feb. 6 low.
- SUP 1: $74.10 - Low Feb 6
- SUP 2: $71.25 - Low Dec 20
- WTI MAR 25 down 1.5% at 70.3$/bbl, breaking through Feb. 6 low.
- SUP 1: $70.43 - Low Feb 6 and the bear trigger
- SUP 2: $68.05 - Low Dec 20 ‘24
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