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Crude Time Spreads Ease Back After Strong Rally

OIL

Crude futures are edging higher again today but time spreads have softened slightly after a strong rally so far this week. Rising geopolitical risks and the expectation of a market deficit in Q2 are supportive with focus on OPEC’s JMMC meeting and US petroleum inventory data due today.

  • The Brent prompt spread time spread yesterday reached the highest since late February while the WTI spread was the highest since October.
  • The steeper backwardation this week is also reflected in the Jun24-Dec24 spread although the Brent spread has drifted back from a high of 5.5$/bbl yesterday to 5.23$/bbl.
  • Technicals show the bull cycle remains in play with first Brent Jun24 resistance at 89.76$/bbl and WTI at 85.73$/bbl.
    • Brent JUN 24 up 0.4% at 89.27$/bbl
    • WTI MAY 24 up 0.3% at 85.42$/bbl
    • WTI-Brent up 0.01$/bbl at -4.71$/bbl
    • Brent JUN 24-JUL 24 down 0.05$/bbl at 0.98$/bbl
    • Brent JUN 24-DEC 24 down 0.11$/bbl at 5.26$/bbl
    • WTI MAY 24-JUN 24 down 0.06$/bbl at 0.87$/bbl
    • WTI JUN 24-DEC 24 down 0.07$/bbl at 5.38$/bbl


Source: Bloomberg

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