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Curve Bear Flattens On Monday

US TSYS

TYU3 deals at 111-29, -0-05, in line with late NY levels

  • Cash tsys finished 2-8bps cheaper across the major benchmarks, the curve bear flattened.
  • Sizeable flows weighed on tsys in the NY session, a block seller of 43k in TU was the highlight.
  • The latest 2-Year auction tailed, despite above average bid/cover ratio and indirect take up.
  • Tsys seesawed as the latest US PMIs showed continued Services price pressure along with softer expected business activity.
  • FOMC dated OIS price a 25bp hike into Wednesday's meeting, with a terminal rate of ~5.40% in November. There are ~55bps of cuts priced to March 2024.
  • There is a thin docket in Asia today, further out we have House Prices, Consumer Confidence and Richmond Fed Mfg Index. The latest 5-Year Supply is also due.

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