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Curve Marginally Flatter In Asia

US TSYS

TYU3 deals at 114-01, +0-08, a 0-04 range has been observed on volume of ~56k.

  • Cash tsys sit 1bp cheaper to 1bp richer across the major benchmarks, the curve has twist flattened pivoting on 10s.
  • Tsys were marginally pressured as spillover from ACGBs, in lieu of RBA Gov Lowe's remarks this morning as he noted further tightening may be needed due to wage gains and persistent service price pressures.
  • A bid in JGBs and the Yen, which saw pressure on Japanese equities, facilitated a recovery off session lows. The move didn't follow through and tsys respected narrow ranges for the remainder of the Asian session.
  • FOMC dated OIS price ~6bps of hikes into next week's meeting, a terminal rate of ~5.25% is seen in July with ~30bps of cuts priced for 2023.
  • German Industrial Production and ECB-speak from de Guindos headlines the European session. Further out we have US Trade Balance and the latest monetary policy decision from the Bank of Canada.

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