Free Trial

CZK: Koruna On Defensive Ahead Of Central Bank Decisions

CZK

EUR/CZK refreshed cyclical highs at 25.469 and continues to trade on the front foot, last +0.033 at 25.445. The rate's appreciation has lost some steam recently, with a rising wedge forming on the daily chart as a result. This has allowed the pair to keep printing higher highs while steering clear of overbought territory, with the RSI staying below 70. Bulls look for a move towards and beyond Feb 15 high of 25.519. Conversely, bears look for a fall below short-term trendline support drawn off Jul 22 low and intersecting at 25.354; a break here would open up Jul 19/22 lows of 25.208.

  • The focus is on the CNB's rate decision, which will be announced the day after the FOMC concludes its meeting in the US. Czech policymakers are expected to cut the policy rate by 25bp on Thursday, reducing the pace of monetary easing from the previous 50bp/meeting. Some analysts have flagged risks towards a more dovish outcome related to disappointing GDP growth and on-target inflation, but the consensus around 25bp is virtually unanimous.
  • CZGB curve runs a touch steeper as the short end outperforms; the PX Index sits 0.6% higher on the session.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.