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CZKPLN Testing Key Resistance At 0.18

EM FX
  • Monetary policy divergence between NBP and CNB continues to push CZKPLN to new highs, with the pair currently testing its key resistance at 0.18.
  • While the CNB raised its policy rate (as expected) by another 25bps to 0.75% last week to curb inflationary pressures, the NBP continues to delay its tightening cycle as the uncertainty over the economic recovery remains elevated.
  • At this stage, the majority of the NBP board (including Governor Glapinski) still aims to keep interest rates low while the economic recovery is taking place.
  • A break above the 0.18 level would open the door for a move up to 0.1834, which corresponds to the pair's all time high reached in December 2011.
  • On the downside, first support stands at 0.1784, followed by 0.1776 (50DMA).

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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