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Dallas Fed Mfg Survey Sees 18th Monthly Decline For New Orders

US DATA
  • The Dallas Fed manufacturing survey slipped further from -19.2 to -19.9 in Nov, contrary to consensus for a small rise to -16.0.
  • The near unchanged monthly reading masks a sharper decline in new orders, from -8.8 to -20.5, which aside from the -22.8 in Nov’22 is its lowest since Mar-May’20 and before that 2009.
  • This is the eighteenth consecutive monthly decline for new orders, although the overall index trumps it with a nineteenth consecutive decline.
  • Nevertheless, the six-month ahead production index remains in positive territory at 13.7, similar to the level its averaged over the past year with some noise.
  • “Labor market measures suggest slightly slower employment growth and shorter workweeks in November. The employment index edged down from 6.7 to 5.0, a reading below the series average of 7.8” [although this measure was lower in August at 4.3].

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