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GERMAN DATA: December Trade Surplus Increases Amid Higher Exports

GERMAN DATA

The German trade balance surprisingly increased in December to E20.7bln (seasonally-adjusted, vs E17.0bln cons; E19.7bln prior, revised from E19.2bln). That came as the growth in exports (+2.9% M/M vs -0.5% cons, +2.3% Nov revised from +2.1%) outstripped that of imports (+2.1% M/M vs +1.9% cons, -2.7% Nov revised from -3.3%).

On a longer-term view, the German trade surplus appears to be stalling however - the surplus fell back to 5.6% GDP on a 12-month rolling basis. For context, it has recovered since October 2022 when it saw a 2.0% low but remains well below its highs of almost 8%.

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The German trade balance surprisingly increased in December to E20.7bln (seasonally-adjusted, vs E17.0bln cons; E19.7bln prior, revised from E19.2bln). That came as the growth in exports (+2.9% M/M vs -0.5% cons, +2.3% Nov revised from +2.1%) outstripped that of imports (+2.1% M/M vs +1.9% cons, -2.7% Nov revised from -3.3%).

On a longer-term view, the German trade surplus appears to be stalling however - the surplus fell back to 5.6% GDP on a 12-month rolling basis. For context, it has recovered since October 2022 when it saw a 2.0% low but remains well below its highs of almost 8%.

Keep reading...Show less