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Free AccessDemand And Inflation Pressures Easing
ANZ business confidence and activity outlook for May fell to their lowest since September last year as the economic environment continued to deteriorate. Confidence fell to 11.2 from 14.9 and the outlook to 11.8 from 14.3 due to weakening construction and services. Price and cost measures eased which should be welcome news for the RBNZ. Capacity pressures also moderated further.
NZ ANZ business confidence vs activity outlook
Source: MNI - Market News/Refinitiv
- Inflation expectations fell to 3.6% from 3.8%, the lowest since October 2021. Pricing intentions were also around 5 points lower at 41.6 to be the lowest since December 2020 but ANZ says it is still too high. Cost expectations are elevated and sticky but moderated 4 points to 72.6. Wage expectations for the coming year eased to 2.8% from 3.0%.
Source: MNI - Market News/Refinitiv
- Past activity is signalling positive Q1 GDP growth but a softer Q2.
- In line with other data showing a weakening of the labour market, employment intentions fell 6 points to -6.9 in May driven by the retail sector.
- Profits expectations and export & investment intentions all deteriorated.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.