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Despite some misplaced concerns over....>
EGB SUMMARY: Despite some misplaced concerns over Italian politics in
mid-afternoon, periphery EGB spreads finished broadly tighter, while Bunds were
slightly weaker in another day characterised by thin volumes.
- BTP spreads spiked on the back of a Reuters report claiming Italian EU Affairs
Minister Paolo Savona said `it may depend on others whether Italy stays in the
euro`, but this was clarified as meaning `Italy needs to be ready if others exit
the euro`, and the panic subsided. After an initial widening in 10-Year BTPs by
5bps to 239.5bps vs Bunds, the spread is back flat on the day at 236.4bps.
- Bunds slightly weaker, with Sep8 future off 18 ticks at 162.43, but up from
the low of 162.26. 2s10s curve 0.8bps steeper at 95.2bps.
- Euribor futures have barely moved since an initial drop to open the day. The
biggest move was in Green and Blue contracts, which remain 1.0-1.5 ticks lower.
- Despite potential supply concerns ahead of Wednesday's auction of Oct-28 and
Apr-34 PGBs, 10-year Portuguese yields are down 2.8bps to 1.755%, outperforming
the rest of the periphery and now 4.2bps tighter to Bunds at 144.0bps.
- Busy ECB speaker calendar Wednesday, with Draghi, Praet, Mersch and Nouy up.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.