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Diesel Cracks Edge Higher as Asia Refiners Consider Run Cuts

OIL PRODUCTS

Diesel crack spreads are again seeing some support today after edging higher yesterday with refiners potentially reducing future run rates in Asia due to the low margins. Facts Global Energy expect run cuts in Asia, not including the Middle East, of at least 500kbpd from July.

  • South Korea’s biggest refiner SK is looking to reduce the run rate at the Ulsan plant in July by approximately 10% from April and May according to Bloomberg last week.
  • Margins have been falling due to weak demand, refineries returning from outages and new refining capacity coming online around the world from new refineries and expanded capacity at existing facilities.
  • RBC estimates that net global refining capacity will increase by 1.5mbpd this year and by another 2.4mbpd in 2024.
  • The addition of 250kbpd extra capacity at the Beaumont, Texas facility is the largest US addition for more than ten years.
    • US ULSD crack up 0.4$/bbl at 27.4$/bbl
    • EU Gasoil-Brent up 0.3$/bbl at 16.11$/bbl


Source: Bloomberg

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