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EC Sees EZ Inflation Below ECB Target In 2023

EUROZONE

The European Commission forecasts average eurozone inflation to peak at 2.4% in 2021 (headline currently at 4.1%p, the year's low was 0.9% in January), accelerating from the 1.9% forecast back in the summer.

  • For 2022, the EC sees inflation dipping to 2.2%, before falling back to 1.4% in 2023, well below the ECB's new symmetric 2% price target. In the summer, the Commission forecast average EZ inflation at 1.9% in 2021 and 1.4% in 2022.
  • However, Brussels warned that "inflation may turn out higher than forecast if supply constraints are more persistent and above productivity wage increases are passed on to consumer prices."
  • GDP growth is seen at 5% in 2021, 4.3% in 2022 and 2.5% in 2021. Growth for both this and next year has been called modestly higher from the Summer forecast round, both now seen an additional 0.2 percentage points higher.

MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 203-865-3812 | les.commons@marketnews.com

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