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ECB, BoE Terminal Pricing Edges Higher

STIR

With few macro/headline catalysts in Wednesday's European session, ECB and BoE implied rate pricing was little changed.

  • ECB terminal depo Rate pricing +1.5bp to 3.75% (51bp of further hikes left in the cycle, peak September). Next meeting (June) hike priced at 23bp.
  • ECB's de Guindos (tightening is mostly done but still has a way to go) and de Cos (getting closer to the end of the hiking cycle) repeated commentary made since May's meeting.
  • BoE terminal Bank Rate pricing +0.5bp to 4.92% (42bp of further hikes left in the cycle, peak September/Oct). Next meeting (June) hike priced at 19bp.
  • BoE Gov Bailey offered little new on monetary policy in an appearance today, with his speech in line with the comments post-May MPR release. He (and Chief Econ Pill) appear Thursday.

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