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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
ECB
ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters here: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/ecb_surveys/survey_of_professional_forecasters/html/ecb.spf2024q3~98dde869e4.en.html
- Summary
Expectations for headline HICP inflation were largely unchanged from the previous survey (conducted in the second quarter of 2024). - Headline inflation was expected to decline from 2.4% in 2024 to 2.0% in 2025 and further to 1.9% in 2026 (unchanged apart from a 0.1 percentage points downward revision for 2026).
- Longer-term HICP inflation expectations (for 2029 in this round, 2028 in the previous round) were unchanged at 2.0%.
- Expected real GDP growth for 2024 remained modest at 0.7%, reflecting mainly a weak carry-over from 2023, but was revised upwards due to a stronger than expected outturn in the first quarter of 2024.
- Expectations for 2025, 2026 and the longer term were 1.3%, 1.4% and 1.3% respectively (unchanged apart from a 0.1 percentage points downward revision for 2025).
Full results in image below:
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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