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ECI Growth Softer Than Expected In Q2

US DATA
  • The ECI was softer than expected in Q2 at 1.02% Q/Q (cons 1.1) after an unrevised 1.16%, a reasonable miss considering the data are non-annualized.
  • It’s the softest quarter since 2Q21 but still equivalent to 4.1% annualized.
  • Wages & salaries saw a similar trend, moderating from 1.16% to 0.95% (3.9% annualized) for also the softest since 2Q21, as did the private sector specific measure of wages & salaries easing from 1.21% to 1.00% (4.1% annualized).
  • Taken together, the data lend credence to the downtrend trend seen in the monthly AHE data from payrolls, albeit one that started to stall in latest months, due an update for July next week.

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