January 21, 2025 17:30 GMT
BONDS: EGBs-GILTS CASH CLOSE: Bull Flatter
BONDS
Gilts outperformed Bunds in a bull flattening move across European curves Tuesday.
- European bonds fluctuated overnight, with competing moves as US President Trump opined on tariff imposition. Supply weighed on EGBs, with France and Lithuania conducting syndications (France's 15Y OAT seeing record order books >E134B). For their part. Gilts saw limited pressure on a Jan-40 Gilt syndication.
- After weakening for most of the European morning session, global FI saw a recovery in the afternoon triggered by a slightly softer than expected Canada CPI report.
- European data was largely shrugged off: UK labour market figures were mixed (soft quantity readings vs. firmer-than-expected private wages). German ZEW expectations fell by more than expected.
- The German and UK curves bull flattened. Periphery EGB spreads to Bunds closed slightly tighter, with semi-core French OATs outperforming on the aforementioned well-received syndication.
- Wednesday's calendar is highlighted by ECB speakers including Lagarde, with data including UK public finances.
Closing Yields / 10-Yr EGB Spreads To Germany
- Germany: The 2-Yr yield is down 0.7bps at 2.215%, 5-Yr is down 1bps at 2.318%, 10-Yr is down 1.6bps at 2.51%, and 30-Yr is down 2.8bps at 2.731%.
- UK: The 2-Yr yield is down 4.3bps at 4.334%, 5-Yr is down 5.1bps at 4.337%, 10-Yr is down 6.9bps at 4.59%, and 30-Yr is down 5.9bps at 5.151%.
- Italian BTP spread down 1.2bps at 108.1bps / French OAT down 1.2bps at 77bps
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